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BTC Price Prediction: Will It Surge to $100,000?

BTC Price Prediction: Will It Surge to $100,000?

Published:
2026-01-19 19:45:47
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  • Technical Consolidation: BTC is trading in a tightening range above key support ($92,382 MA), needing a break above $97,306 resistance to initiate a stronger rally towards $100k.
  • Mixed but Improving Sentiment: Institutional investment and rising futures interest provide a bullish counterweight to miner capitulation and crash warnings, shifting the narrative from fear to selective accumulation.
  • Macro and On-Chain Crosscurrents: The drop in hashrate (miner stress) and historic undervaluation vs. Gold (per RSI) create a complex backdrop where price discovery will be volatile but potentially skewed upward if institutional demand persists.

BTC Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: BTC Testing Key Support Levels

BTC is currently trading at $93,140, slightly above its 20-day moving average of $92,382, indicating near-term neutral momentum. The MACD remains negative at -2,351.87, though the histogram shows a slight convergence at 372.40, suggesting bearish momentum may be slowing. Price action is within the Bollinger Bands, with the upper band at $97,306 acting as resistance and the lower band at $87,459 as critical support., notes: 'The price holding above the 20-day MA is constructive, but the negative MACD and proximity to the middle band signal consolidation. A decisive break above $97,300 is needed to confirm a bullish resumption.'

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Market Sentiment: Volatility Amid Institutional Moves and Miner Shifts

Recent headlines paint a mixed but cautiously evolving picture. Institutional interest is highlighted by Cardone Capital's $10 million Bitcoin investment during volatility, while rising Bitcoin futures open interest (up 13%) shows traders are re-engaging. However, counterbalancing factors include a dropping Bitcoin hashrate as miners pivot to AI, and warnings from analysts like Peter Schiff predicting a crash., interprets: 'The sentiment has shifted from the pure fear of 2022. Current news flow supports a narrative of accumulation during weakness, not capitulation. The institutional buy-in and historic undervaluation against gold per RSI are positive offsets to technical and miner concerns.' This aligns with the technical view of a market finding its footing rather than entering a deep downturn.

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Cardone Capital Invests $10 Million in Bitcoin Amid Market Volatility

Cardone Capital, the real estate investment firm founded by Grant Cardone, has allocated $10 million to Bitcoin during a recent market downturn. The purchase was executed as Bitcoin's price dipped below $92,000, reflecting broader market turbulence linked to geopolitical tensions.

The firm's strategy integrates cryptocurrency with traditional real estate holdings, positioning digital assets as a long-term growth component. Bitcoin traded at $93,184 at the time of acquisition, marking a 2% decline over 24 hours. This move follows Cardone's established pattern of accumulating digital assets during price corrections.

Brandt Predicts Altcoin Collapse as Bitcoin and Gold Rise in Monetary Reset

Veteran trader Peter Brandt has issued a stark warning about the future of altcoins, forecasting dramatic losses while positioning Bitcoin and gold as potential beneficiaries of what he describes as an accelerating global monetary reset. "Altcoins will become more worthless than USDs," Brandt declared, framing them as collateral damage in a broader collapse of faith in fiat systems.

The chartist believes gold will reclaim its historic role as the ultimate store of value, while USD-denominated assets face erosion against physical commodities. Bitcoin may find advantage in this transition, though Brandt cautions its supremacy isn't guaranteed. His analysis comes alongside ongoing tracking of Bitcoin's cyclical price behavior and its unrivaled position in financial markets.

Bitcoin Hashrate Drops to September Lows as Miners Pivot to AI

Bitcoin's network hashrate has plunged below 1,000 EH/s for the first time since September, marking a 15% decline from October's peak. The downturn reflects a strategic reallocation of resources by miners seeking more predictable revenue streams.

"AI computing now offers clearer margins than volatile Bitcoin mining," says Leon Lyu, CEO of StandardHash. Mining firms are repurposing infrastructure for high-performance computing workloads, drawn by stable cash flows amid tightening industry conditions.

The shift has triggered four consecutive downward adjustments in mining difficulty since November. Bitmain's recent price cuts on mining hardware underscore growing pressure across the sector.

Bitcoin Faces Technical Weakness as Schiff Predicts Crash

Bitcoin's price trajectory shows concerning signals after a 30% retreat from its 2025 peak of $126,000. The cryptocurrency now hovers near $93,000 as a death cross pattern emerges between key moving averages—a technical formation often preceding further declines. Market observers note the 200-day exponential moving average at $69,000 could serve as the next significant support level.

Gold advocate Peter Schiff reinforces his longstanding crypto skepticism, contrasting Bitcoin's slump with gold's 65% rally during the same period. "The clock is running out for speculative holders," Schiff warns, suggesting the current technical deterioration may precede a steeper decline. The divergence between traditional and digital safe havens continues fueling debates about store-of-value supremacy.

Blockspace Media Acquires Bitcoin Layers to Expand into Blockchain Data Intelligence

Blockspace Media has acquired Bitcoin Layers, a data platform tracking Bitcoin's layer-2 ecosystem, marking its strategic pivot from journalism to blockchain intelligence. The deal, confirmed on January 19, 2026, integrates Bitcoin Layers' dataset of 361,830 BTC ($34.5 billion) across scaling solutions into Blockspace's forthcoming analytics dashboard.

The acquisition signals growing institutional interest in Bitcoin's modular expansion, with Blockspace planning to unify metrics on TVL, adoption, and network activity. Janusz, Bitcoin Layers' founder, will advise as the platform expands coverage to include Bitcoin ETFs and equities—bridging traditional finance with on-chain metrics.

Bitcoin Market Sentiment Has Changed, Analyst Says: Why 2022 Is the Wrong Comparison

Bitcoin's recent volatility has drawn comparisons to the 2022 bear market, but a deeper analysis reveals stark differences in macroeconomic conditions. In 2022, central banks aggressively tightened monetary policy amid soaring inflation, draining liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin. Today, inflation has eased, and the macro backdrop favors a more resilient market.

Analyst Garrett emphasizes that short-term chart similarities are misleading. The structural underpinnings of Bitcoin's market—liquidity, institutional participation, and volatility patterns—have evolved significantly since 2022. This divergence suggests current price action reflects a distinct phase of adoption, not a repeat of past cycles.

Bitcoin Price Regains Momentum—Can Bulls Push BTC Above Bearish Pressure?

Bitcoin's price hovers near $93,000 after testing support below $92,000, signaling a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Mixed technical indicators and cooling derivatives activity suggest traders are cautiously positioning ahead of critical macroeconomic data releases, including CPI and GDP figures.

The CryptoQuant Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator has shifted into bearish territory, reflecting softening momentum. Historical patterns show such dips don't necessarily foreshadow prolonged downturns—rather, they often precede consolidation phases during ongoing bull markets. Market structure remains defensive as participants await clearer directional cues.

Bitcoin Price Glitch Triggers Liquidations on Starknet DEX

A technical malfunction on Paradex, a Starknet-based decentralized exchange, briefly displayed Bitcoin's price as $0 during scheduled maintenance. The error stemmed from a faulty database migration, causing automated systems to liquidate positions tied to BTC before engineers intervened.

Social media reports indicated users saw positions wiped out within minutes, initially mistaken for a display bug. Paradex rolled back the chain to block 1,604,710—the last known stable state—and force-cancelled most open orders. Trading resumed after eight hours, with all accounts restored to pre-maintenance status.

The incident underscores the fragility of price oracles in decentralized systems. 'Chain rollbacks are rare but necessary safeguards,' remarked one blockchain engineer, noting the event could prompt stricter validation protocols for maintenance procedures.

Bitcoin's RSI Against Gold Hits Historic Undervaluation Threshold

Bitcoin's relative strength index (RSI) against gold has plunged to 30—a level seen only three times before in the cryptocurrency's history. This technical signal suggests BTC is trading at a steep discount to the precious metal, extending a six-month underperformance streak.

The RSI breakdown mirrors 2018's bear market lows and 2020's pre-bull market consolidation. Market veterans interpret such extremes as contrarian buy signals, though gold's haven appeal remains elevated amid macroeconomic uncertainty.

Notably, prior instances of this RSI extreme preceded major Bitcoin rallies—the 2019 breakout (+300%) and 2021's bull run (+700%). Whether history repeats hinges on institutional flows regaining momentum against gold's entrenched dominance.

Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Rebounds 13% as Traders Tentatively Re-Engage

Bitcoin futures open interest has climbed 13% year-to-date, reaching $61 billion by mid-January 2026. This recovery follows a brutal 17.5% contraction in Q4 2025, when OI plummeted from 381,000 to 314,000 BTC amid a 36% price correction. The rebound suggests institutional traders are cautiously testing waters again—though the pace remains measured compared to the $75 billion surge in options OI.

Futures still dominate trading volumes, with Binance commanding 36% of the market. The divergence between futures and options activity hints at evolving strategies: some players are hedging while others position for volatility. 'This isn't 2021's reckless leverage,' notes a CryptoQuant analyst. 'It's selective risk-taking.'

Bitcoin Tests Key Support Amid Macro Uncertainty

Bitcoin's breach below $94,000 signals mounting pressure as geopolitical tensions and Fed policy concerns overshadow crypto markets. The EU-US tariff standoff and pending Supreme Court rulings inject volatility, with traders eyeing $88,000 as the next potential downside target.

On-chain metrics show weakening risk appetite, though a reclaim of $94,000 could catalyze a retest of $98,000 resistance. Altcoins face disproportionate downside risks if BTC fails to stabilize, threatening to erase 2026 gains across speculative tokens.

Market structure appears fragile as macroeconomic crosscurrents dominate. Robust employment data has already priced out Fed rate cuts, rendering upcoming inflation prints less consequential for crypto valuations.

Will BTC Price Hit 100000?

Based on the current technical setup and market sentiment, reaching $100,000 is a plausible near-to-mid-term target, but not without overcoming immediate hurdles.

Key Data Snapshot:

MetricValueImplication
Current Price$93,140~6.9% away from $100k target
20-Day MA$92,382Immediate support level
Bollinger Upper Band$97,306Key resistance to break first
MACDNegative but convergingBearish momentum may be weakening

Michael, BTCC financial analyst, provides context: 'The path to $100,000 is clearer than it was a month ago. The price is consolidating healthily above major moving averages. However, the market needs to absorb the miner outflow news and build enough momentum to break through the $97,300 resistance. If that happens, and positive institutional flows continue, the $100,000 level becomes a very realistic magnet for price action in the coming weeks.' The combination of institutional accumulation, recovering trader interest, and technical basing suggests the bullish scenario is gaining credibility.

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